Egor Gerasimov vs Mert Alkaya Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent second serve performance shows a slight advantage for Gerasimov, winning 46.87% of points compared to Alkaya's 44.23%. Could this edge play a key role in a potential victory?
• When it comes to returning games, Alkaya excels in handling second serves, winning 46.72% of these points versus Gerasimov's 44.97%.
• Alkaya demonstrates proficiency in first serve returns, capturing 25.93% of points, while Gerasimov secures 22.47%.
• Under pressure, Gerasimov shines by saving 60.87% of breakpoints, overshadowing Alkaya's 50.88%.
• Performance over the past year indicates that Alkaya has a superior match-winning percentage at 62.69%, compared to Gerasimov's 47.5%.
• Although Alkaya is predominantly successful on hard surfaces with a 61% win rate, Gerasimov's top performance is found on indoor hard courts with the same win percentage.
• Alkaya frequently competes in Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K events, winning 62.69%, while Gerasimov partakes in higher-level Challengers/ITF events > $10K, securing 30% of matches.
• Alkaya's recent opponents have an average rank of 396.16, slightly higher quality compared to Gerasimov's opponents ranked at 425.38 on average.
• If the match enters a deciding set, Gerasimov has a marginal advantage, winning 57% of these sets, whereas Alkaya wins 50%.
• Alkaya converts breakpoints with greater efficiency, capitalizing on 37.84% of opportunities, whereas Gerasimov converts 27.71%.

Editorial Prediction (August 8, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming clash between Alkaya and Gerasimov presents a fascinating mix of strengths and weaknesses. Both players showcase unique skills; however, certain metrics provide insight into the possible outcome.

While Gerasimov holds a slight edge on second serve performance and in pressure situations like saving breakpoints, Alkaya's superior breakpoint conversion rate and successful return game may tip the scales in their favor.

Alkaya's higher win percentage over the past year and ability to perform well on hard courts provide additional leverage. Given these factors, Alkaya seems positioned to secure a victory in this match.